Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.443205 0.510254 0.583607 0.669760 0.768126 0.876883 1.006205
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.365261 0.459897 0.572497 0.716116 0.894210 1.107587 1.382452
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.301778 0.412593 0.554986 0.750801 1.012507 1.349603 1.816169
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.251398 0.371155 0.536443 0.780128 1.129040 1.609245 2.318822
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.214637 0.340382 0.525838 0.817429 1.262240 1.912683 2.932878
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.178948 0.303600 0.499281 0.826063 1.354892 2.172943 3.528785
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.154863 0.279783 0.487581 0.854495 1.481470 2.502695 4.282808
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.129926 0.249262 0.459032 0.849570 1.552140 2.753479 4.949089
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.113124 0.229584 0.445124 0.866673 1.662080 3.084607 5.800373
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.094905 0.203410 0.414490 0.847411 1.702589 3.299192 6.476955
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.085884 0.193563 0.412854 0.882632 1.850279 3.728945 7.612242
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.078963 0.186653 0.415672 0.926864 2.022077 4.227854 8.951503
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.069155 0.171659 0.399528 0.929932 2.112732 4.585233 10.073140
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.060391 0.157238 0.382031 0.927032 2.190456 4.928161 11.218144
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053113 0.144843 0.366842 0.926650 2.273748 5.295195 12.470362
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047220 0.134667 0.354999 0.932014 2.371123 5.707215 13.883542
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043024 0.128059 0.350690 0.955054 2.514377 6.243645 15.659750
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038092 0.118330 0.336600 0.950708 2.589452 6.631628 17.142692
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034919 0.112942 0.332983 0.973256 2.736664 7.213914 19.180862
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030828 0.103883 0.317586 0.960935 2.790192 7.571741 20.709988
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028161 0.098649 0.312080 0.975538 2.919319 8.140729 22.863385
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024627 0.089786 0.294199 0.950846 2.934522 8.413534 24.274999
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023216 0.087738 0.296699 0.988013 3.134392 9.211893 27.223753